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Historical estimates range from about 2 percent to 10 percent.

Using surveys, social networks, pornographic searches and dating sites, I recently studied evidence on the number of gay men.

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In states where the stigma against homosexuality remains strong, many more gay men are in the closet than are out. Obviously, it is possible for a gay man not to acknowledge his sexuality to Facebook or surveys but to still have healthy, open same-sex relationships.

But data from Match.com, one of the country’s largest dating sites, which has high rates of membership for both straight and gay men, reveals a similarly large number of missing gay men in less tolerant states.

(Women search, too, but in much smaller numbers.) While tolerant states have a slightly higher percentage of these searches, roughly 5 percent of pornographic searches are looking for depictions of gay men in all states.

This again suggests that there are just about as many gay men in less tolerant states as there are anywhere else.

This suggests that these men are not only not telling Facebook they are gay but are also not looking for relationships online.

Additional evidence that suggests that many gay men in intolerant states are deeply in the closet comes from a surprising source: the Google searches of married women.The data used in this analysis is available in highly aggregated form only and can be downloaded from publicly accessible sites.While none of these data sources are ideal, they combine to tell a consistent story.On Facebook, for example, about 1 percent of men in Mississippi who list a gender preference say that they are interested in men; in California, more than 3 percent do.Are there really so many fewer gay men living in less tolerant states?Over 45,000 hours of free audio & video lectures, await you now.

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